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The Mail & Guardian
Starlink in Africa: Breakthrough or backdoor? The continent’s digital future at a critical crossroads
Africa’s digital frontier is being redrawn, not by its states but by satellites, orbiting silently above and reshaping the continent’s destiny from the skies. Low Earth orbit constellations, such as Starlink, promise to connect the unconnected, offering visions of universal access and technological emancipation. Yet beneath the rhetoric of progress lies a more unsettling reality: the quiet erosion of sovereignty, the empowerment of insurgent networks and the outsourcing of Africa’s digital future to private corporations that have their headquarters far beyond the continent’s borders. This is not merely a story of innovation but of power. Control over information flows, infrastructure and surveillance capacity is migrating from African capitals to corporate boardrooms in Silicon Valley. The promise of connectivity masks a deeper dependency, one that risks transforming African states into passive consumers of technologies they neither regulate nor own. Insurgents, criminal syndicates and political actors could exploit the systems to bypass state oversight, while governments struggle to assert authority over the digital lifeblood of their societies. Africa thus stands at a perilous crossroads. The continent must decide whether to embrace a seductive narrative of progress that conceals new vulnerabilities, or to confront the uncomfortable truth that sovereignty in the digital age cannot be outsourced. The frontier being drawn above Africa is not simply technological; it is geopolitical, and the stakes are nothing less than the continent’s ability to govern itself in the 21st century. Connectivity without consent Starlink’s expansion across Africa bypasses terrestrial infrastructure and national regulation, beaming connectivity directly into homes, villages and even conflict zones while operating beyond the reach of domestic oversight. What appears as technological efficiency conceals a deeper sovereignty crisis: who controls Africa’s communication arteries when a private corporation headquartered abroad dictates the terms of access? The precedent is visible. Elon Musk’s unilateral restrictions on Starlink usage in Ukraine and Gaza demonstrate how the decisions of a single individual can determine the fate of communications in war, silencing armies or populations at will. For African states, the nightmare scenario is unmistakable: national interests subordinated to corporate discretion, with no recourse to law, policy or democratic accountability. In this emerging order, sovereignty is not defended by constitutions or parliaments but negotiated in boardrooms, leaving Africa’s digital future perilously exposed to external command. Sovereignty at risk Africa’s post-liberation states remain fragile, their institutions contested and often hollowed out by elite bargains and structural inequities. Into this precarious landscape enters Starlink, a model that centralises authority not in African capitals but in distant corporate boardrooms. Such an arrangement destabilises the notion of sovereignty, shifting the locus of power from public institutions to private actors beyond the continent’s reach. The democratic project, weakened by uneven development, compromised governance and persistent inequality, now confronts a new frontier of vulnerability: the creeping dependency on external digital infrastructures. What is presented as connectivity is, in truth, a recalibration of power, one that risks subordinating Africa’s political destiny to the algorithms and profit motives of foreign corporations. The Namibian case Namibia’s reported rejection of Starlink’s application for a licence is far more than a bureaucratic footnote; it is a bold assertion of regulatory sovereignty on a continent where foreign technology firms are too often waved through without scrutiny, even when their innovations pose profound security risks. By citing non-compliance with local ownership and equity requirements, Namibia has refused to bend its rules for a powerful satellite operator, demonstrating that national law and public interest cannot be casually subordinated to external pressure. The decision is unusual in Africa’s regulatory landscape, where governments have frequently acquiesced to disruptive technologies under the banner of “innovation” or “development”, even when such concessions erode sovereignty and compromise security. Namibia’s stance therefore serves as a powerful and instructive example of defensive governance: a government insisting that its own standards, equity frameworks and long-term interests take precedence over the demands of a foreign corporation. In the disturbing saga of satellite operators seeking unchecked access to African markets, Namibia’s refusal shines as a reminder that prudence and agency are not optional luxuries but essential tools of sovereignty. It is a case study in how African states can resist rhetorical seductions and instead recalibrate their partnerships on their own terms, a rare but vital act of regulatory courage that deserves recognition and emulation. South Africa’s contradictory pressure In sharp contrast to Namibia’s firm rejection, South Africa finds itself embroiled in an intense internal debate over whether to amend its local ownership and licensing regulations to accommodate Starlink’s business model. This is no ordinary policy discussion; it is a dangerous sovereignty test with no precedent. At stake is whether a private foreign entity can leverage market penetration and public demand to pressure a sovereign government into diluting its own rules on critical infrastructure. The danger is profound. Once a single company successfully forces a legal concession, the precedent reverberates far beyond telecommunications. It risks weakening the state’s ability to set and enforce rules across other strategic sectors, from energy grids to financial systems, wherever powerful corporations seek exemptions. What appears at first glance as a technical licensing debate is, in reality, a test of South Africa’s regulatory backbone. Will the state uphold its own standards or will it allow the logic of corporate convenience to erode the principle of sovereignty? The contrast with Namibia could not be more instructive. Namibia has held the line, preserving its digital sovereignty by refusing to dilute its ownership and equity requirements. South Africa, by contrast, is openly contemplating a legal retreat. The divergence illustrates the dilemma African states face: defend sovereignty or surrender it under market pressure. The warning is clear. Amending national laws to suit one company risks hollowing out regulatory sovereignty. Policymakers must recognise that once rules are bent for telecommunications, similar concessions in energy, finance or data governance will follow. Insurgents in the Sahel The Sahel offers a stark preview of what unregulated satellite connectivity could unleash. Insurgent groups in Mali, Burkina Faso and Niger already weaponise mobile networks and encrypted platforms to coordinate attacks and disseminate propaganda. Starlink’s open architecture threatens to magnify the capabilities exponentially. One can imagine militias seamlessly coordinating across porous borders with high-speed satellite internet, evading state surveillance and amplifying their narratives in real time to audiences far beyond their immediate reach. For governments struggling to contain violence, the arrival of unregulated satellite technology risks tipping the balance decisively towards instability. Starlink does not discriminate between a rural classroom and a rebel encampment; its indiscriminate reach is its promise and its peril. In the fragile security theatres of the Sahel, such connectivity could become less a tool of development than an accelerant of disorder, eroding the state’s monopoly on communication and deepening the asymmetry between insurgents and governments. The surveillance conundrum Equally troubling is the spectre of external surveillance. In Ethiopia, state monitoring of digital communications has long served as an instrument of repression but Starlink introduces a more insidious dimension: the prospect of foreign intelligence harvesting African data at scale. By routing communications through gateways beyond the continent’s jurisdiction, Starlink exposes citizens’ private exchanges to scrutiny by external powers, effectively transforming African societies into open archives for global surveillance regimes. Data has become the new frontier of geopolitical competition, as strategic as oil or rare earths, yet African nations risk being reduced to passive suppliers of raw digital material. Legislative frameworks, designed for terrestrial telecoms, are inadequate for orbital technologies, leaving a yawning gap in national security. Unless addressed, the vulnerability will erode not only privacy but the very foundations of state authority in the digital age. Starlink threatens to entrench itself as a permanent fixture in Africa’s communications ecosystem, embedding dependency on a private actor whose power is unchecked and unaccountable. Connectivity controlled from boardrooms far removed from African oversight risks hollowing out sovereignty, tethering citizens to infrastructures beyond their governments’ reach. Unless African leaders act decisively, investing in indigenous satellite capacity, enforcing strict licensing and embedding non-negotiable safeguards, the continent risks sliding into a monopolistic, neo-colonial digital order it neither designed nor controls. The mirage of progress The seductive narrative that equates connectivity with progress must be interrogated, not embraced. Africa’s leaders cannot afford to mistake imported technology for liberation, nor to conflate access with autonomy. Starlink’s arrival is less a breakthrough than a backdoor, an entry point for external influence, insurgent empowerment and pervasive surveillance. What is being offered is not neutral infrastructure but a reconfiguration of power, one that risks subordinating Africa’s digital destiny to the imperatives of foreign corporations. At stake is nothing less than the continent’s digital sovereignty. To accept Starlink uncritically is to invite a new form of dependency, where the architecture of communication is controlled beyond Africa’s borders and accountability is displaced by profit. The challenge before African states is not simply technological adoption but the preservation of self-determination in the digital age. Policy imperatives African governments must approach Starlink’s expansion with extreme caution, recognising that the stakes are not merely technological but existential for sovereignty. Safeguards must be conceived not as optional measures but as pillars of digital self-determination. Rigorous licensing regimes should ensure that satellite operators serve national interests rather than corporate imperatives. Data must be localised, stored and processed on the continent, to prevent the wholesale extraction of Africa’s digital lifeblood by external powers. At the continental level, the African Union must establish binding standards for satellite governance and security, creating a unified framework that resists fragmentation and external manipulation. Above all, investment in indigenous capabilities, African-owned satellites, diverse ground networks and resilient regional infrastructure must take precedence over dependency on foreign systems. Only by embedding these defensive measures can Africa avoid sliding into a new era of digital dependency, where sovereignty is hollowed out and the continent’s future is dictated from boardrooms beyond its borders. Africa’s embrace of Starlink is no neutral upgrade; it is a governance dilemma disguised as progress. Uncritical adoption risks mortgaging sovereignty for short-term gains, entrenching dependencies, empowering insurgent networks and eroding state authority. The wiser path is defensive: invest in local satellite capacity, enforce strict licensing, mandate data localisation and embed safeguards. Starlink is not a breakthrough but a backdoor. Unless governments act with foresight, the backdoor could become the main entrance through which sovereignty and security are dismantled. Wellington Muzengeza is an Independent journalist, political risk analyst and urban strategist offering incisive insight on governance, infrastructure and Africa’s evolving political economy.
The Mail & Guardian
How the US-Israel-Iran conflict is reshaping South Africa’s coal exports
The US-Israel war on Iran, which has sent shockwaves through global energy markets, is creating new opportunities for South Africa’s coal exporters as countries grapple with volatile oil prices, shipping disruptions and energy security concerns. But while coal producers stand to benefit from stronger prices and export demand, researchers warn that increased coal production and exports carry significant environmental and social costs, from greenhouse gas emissions to the impacts borne by communities living near mines and coal-fired power stations. The benefits of coal expansion are not evenly distributed. Communities living near coal mines and coal-fired power stations continue to bear many of the environmental and health costs associated with extraction and combustion. Political economist and University of Johannesburg academic professor Patrick Bond argues that the damage extends far beyond local pollution. “Combustion of coal is the main cause of the climate crisis,” he says, “and mines cause deadly local pollution and destruction of land, air and water.” He adds that the climate costs of coal exports are staggering and rarely accounted for economically. “At a social cost of carbon of $1 200 (about R19 554) per tonne, a typical large shipload causes climate damage of $530 million (about R8.7 billion).” The climate, environmental and social impacts of coal mining and burning are “severe”, gender and climate change researcher Dr Thembi Luckett, says. This is particularly for communities that live close to coal mines and power stations. “These communities are black, working-class communities living under the shadow of power stations and whose suffering is rendered permissible in the name of ‘economic growth’.” The war triggered sharp increases in fuel and shipping costs globally. Crude oil prices briefly climbed to $126 per barrel in April before easing below $100 after ceasefire discussions emerged and later settling at above $100. Diesel prices surged by 70% while shipping costs rose by 40%. For many climate analysts, the crisis appeared to strengthen the case for renewable energy. United Nations climate chief Simon Stiell argues that the war has “supercharged” global shifts toward renewable energy as countries searched for alternatives to the volatility of fossil fuel markets. However, while some analysts expected higher oil prices to accelerate the shift to renewable energy, coal markets have also benefited from the uncertainty, with stronger demand and higher prices in several regions. For South Africa, a country with abundant solar and wind potential and an officially stated commitment to a just energy transition, this presents a complex picture. South Africa appears to be among the countries experiencing renewed demand for coal exports. Bond says the country is seeing a significant increase in coal exports linked to the broader geopolitical crisis. “Much, much more,” Bond said when asked whether South Africa was selling more coal internationally since the escalation of the war. Asian thermal coal prices rose between 11% and 12.6% after the conflict intensified. High-grade Australian coal rose to around $130.81 per tonne, with analysts warning prices could rise further if liquefied natural gas becomes too expensive relative to coal. South African coal producers have positioned themselves to benefit. Mining titan Exxaro Resources announced in March that its coal exports could rise by as much as 12% in 2026, potentially reaching 8 million metric tonnes, compared to 7.1 million tonnes the previous year. The company linked the forecast to energy market disruptions associated with the conflict and rising coal prices. Although export coal prices averaged around $90 per tonne in Exxaro’s annual reporting period, geopolitical instability has since contributed to renewed upward pressure. Bond notes that the increase is not only reflected in prices but also in export volumes. “Yes, the price is increasing,” he said, “but so is the annual volume of coal exports — mainly to India — up from a low of 47 million tonnes in 2021, when Transnet had many broken rail components, to close to 60 million tonnes anticipated this year.” The economic incentives are significant. Higher coal prices translate into increased export revenues, stronger returns for investors and greater incentives for continued coal production. Exxaro declared total shareholder payouts of R6.3 billion in 2026 despite declining profits, while continuing to invest in both coal and renewable energy. “The rate of coal sales increased especially after Colombia halted them [coal sales to Israel] in August 2025,” Bond says. After Colombia’s decision to ban coal exports to Israel over the war in Gaza, South Africa became a significantly larger supplier of coal to Israel. Reuters reported that South African coal exports to Israel increased by 87% to 474 000 metric tonnes in the three months to November 2025. They reached 667 442 tonnes over a three-month period, the highest level recorded since 2017. According to Kpler data cited by Reuters, South Africa’s share of Israel’s seaborne coal market is expected to rise to 55%, more than triple its previous share. The trend highlights a tension at the centre of South Africa’s energy policy. South Africa publicly positions itself as committed to a just energy transition, with billions in international climate finance secured to support a move away from coal. Yet rising global demand and stronger prices continue to create incentives for coal extraction and export. There is also South Africa’s case before the International Court of Justice in The Hague, where it has accused Israel of genocide against Palestinians in Gaza. The country’s coal exports to Israel have drawn criticism from some civil society organisations. In an advisory report to the government, Boycott, Divestment and Sanctions South Africa argues that continued coal exports are inconsistent with the country’s constitutional commitments and international legal obligations. It has called on the government to halt such exports. The structure of South Africa’s coal export economy also reveals the concentration of corporate power in the fossil fuel sector. Bond points to the ownership structure of the Richards Bay Coal Terminal as indicative of the dominant players benefiting from export growth. These include Anglo Operations, Black Royalty Minerals, Exxaro, Kangra, Koornfontein, Liberty, Mbokodo, Optimum Coal, Quattro, Sasol, Seriti, South Dunes, SA Coal Mine Holdings, South32 Coal, Tumelo Coal Mines and Umcebo Mining. Shaazia Ebrahim works at the Climate Justice Coalition
IOL
Local businesses and job seekers set to win big from Comrades Marathon economic influx
eThekwini Municipality says it is fully prepared for the 99th Comrades Marathon, with 21,600 athletes and an estimated 65,000 spectators expected to descend on Durban this weekend.
IOL
'Imagine telling this kid from Strand': Dillyn Leyds reflects on Tristan Leyds' rise to HSBC SVNS glory
Dillyn Leyds shares an emotional tribute after his brother Tristan Leyds is crowned HSBC SVNS 'Player of the Year'.
The Citizen
12 people shot dead, several injured at Jumpers Informal Settlement
Police have launched a manhunt for suspects following a mass shooting that claimed the lives of 12 people and left several others injured at Jumpers Informal Settlement in Cleveland on Tuesday evening, 09 June 2026. It is reported that at approximately 11:10pm, members of the South African Police Service (Saps) responded to a complaint of a shooting in progress at the informal settlement. Upon arrival, police found numerous victims who had sustained gunshot wounds. Emergency Medical Services were immediately summoned to the scene to assist the injured. “Preliminary investigations reveal that 12 people died as a result of the attack. Eight adult males and three adult females were declared dead at the scene, while one additional male victim later succumbed to his injuries in the hospital. At least nine other victims were transported to various medical facilities for treatment of gunshot wounds,” said Captain Tintswalo Sibeko. “It is alleged that more than 10 suspects were dropped off by a white Toyota Quantum near a petrol station in Cleveland. The suspects allegedly entered the informal settlement through both entrances and moved through the area, opening fire on residents and community members at multiple locations before fleeing the scene in the same vehicle.” The motive for the attack is currently unknown and forms part of the ongoing investigation. No arrests have been made at this stage. Provincial and district detectives, supported by crime intelligence and forensic experts, have been mobilised to investigate the incident and track down the suspects. Brigadier Athlenda Mathe has confirmed that the Provincial Commissioner of Gauteng, Lieutenant General Tommy Mthombeni, will visit the scene of the crime this morning. This is a developing story
The Citizen
‘Delusional’: MK party, analysts say ANC can’t win majority in KZN
Though ANC secretary-general Fikile Mbalula is confident the ANC will single-handedly win the Ethekwini metro in the November elections and govern without a coalition, uMkhonto weSizwe (MK) party says the ANC is delusional. Experts suggest that Mbalula is full of bravado and promoting the ANC as strong and invincible. ANC confident of majority victory But the ANC is adamant that it will govern eThekwini with an outright majority after the 4 November local government elections. Addressing an ANC election volunteers assembly in Durban on Sunday, Mbalula said the ANC would not need a coalition partnership, adding that the party is tired of co-governing with its rivals. The ANC support base in KwaZulu-Natal (KZN) was eroded by the emergence of Jacob Zuma’s MK party, the majority party in the province. MK was outsmarted by a minority coalition comprising the IFP, DA, ANC and National Freedom Party, which took power after the 2024 national elections. The ANC lost its sole control of Tshwane, Johannesburg and Nelson Mandela Bay after the 2021 local government elections to DA-led minority coalitions and never recovered. ‘The delusion’ MK national spokesperson Sifiso Mahlangu said the ANC is being delusional to imagine an absolute victory in Ethekwini, or any metro in South Africa. “It is the delusion of being an illegal and unelected government in KZN. This is the delusion that comes with a 114-year-old party that now governs everything through a coalition. The days of the ANC’s majority power are gladly over and nothing can save them. The people of KZN want MK and with time, the ANC will accept this,” Mahlangu said. Analysts question ANC optimism Analysts also disagreed with Mbalula’s prediction, saying the ANC’s chances of winning an outright majority are improbable. Independent political economy analyst Sandile Swana said no political party in South Africa would secure an outright majority as “the days of one-party dominance are over”. He said most metros in South Africa are governed by coalitions, except Cape Town, which is under the DA, and the ANC-controlled Buffalo City and Mangaung metros, where it has a small majority. Swana said Mbalula is missing the point and is merely showing bravado. Analyst Daniel Silke said it “would be demeaning for the party to talk in advance about the necessity to form a coalition”. “Any admission that the election results could end up with coalitions is ultimately an admission in advance that there is weakness in the ANC support base.”
The South African
Mexico vs Bafana: How to watch the 2026 World Cup opener on TV in South Africa
It’s almost time for Mexico vs Bafana as the 2026 World Cup gets underway. Here’s how to catch the match on your couch for free. Mexico and Bafana have World Cup history Mexico and South Africa will kick the 2026 World Cup off at the iconic Estadio Azteca in Mexico City. This was the scene of Diego Maradona’s iconic ‘Hand of God’ goal in 1986 against England. Hugo Broos has plenty of riches at his disposal, so we could see a few surprise picks. Incidentally, these sides also played the opening match of the 2010 World Cup in South Africa, the first showpiece of its kind hosted on African soil. Co-hosts Mexico, ranked 15th in the world by FIFA, square up to an improving Bafana Bafana side ranked 60th-finest on the planet. Mexico vs South Africa kicks off on Thursday, 11 June at 21:00 (SA time). The game will be aired on DStv channels 201, 202, 203 and 235 and SABC 1. What are Bafana in for against Mexico? Meanwhile, the co-hosts are under the tutelage of the street smarts of 67-year-old Javier Aguirre. He has held posts as head coach of Japan and Egypt’s national sides, and coached several club sides in Mexico and Spain, notably Atletico Madrid, Espanyol, Mallorca, Real Zaragoza, Leganes and Monterrey. He was at the helm for Mexico’s 2002 and 2010 World Cup campaigns. He’ll lean on 34-year-old Fulham striker Raul Jimenez, veteran of 125 caps for Mexico, the most of any active player. The former Wolves man, like Foster, is also a relentless workaholic up top. Exciting Club Tijuana star Gilberto Mora isn’t expected to start games regularly, but the prodigiously gifted 17-year-old playmaker is one to watch in 2026. Where will you be watching this historic clash? Let us know by clicking the comments tab below 🙂
The South African
SARS tax season 2026: Three weeks until auto assessments start
The South African Revenue Service (SARS) has announced the filing dates for the 2026 tax season, while unveiling several enhancements designed to make the filing process easier and more efficient for taxpayers. The revenue service said it will continue to expand the use of auto assessments and digital services, reducing the need for many taxpayers to manually complete and submit tax returns. Auto assessment dates Taxpayers selected for auto assessments will receive notifications from SARS between Wednesday, 1 and Sunday, 12 July 2026. That kicks off in exactly three weeks’ time. The filing periods for the various taxpayer categories are as follows: Auto assessments: 1 July to 12 July 2026 Non-provisional taxpayers: 13 July to 23 October 2026 Provisional taxpayers: 13 July 2026 to 22 January 2027 Trusts: 13 July 2026 to 22 January 2027 SARS has encouraged taxpayers to avoid last-minute submissions and ensure all necessary information and supporting documents are available before filing. The revenue service explained that non-provisional taxpayers are generally salaried employees whose employers deduct Pay-As-You-Earn (PAYE) tax on their behalf. These taxpayers often have simpler tax affairs and may qualify for auto assessments. Provisional taxpayers include individuals who earn income from sources such as businesses, freelance work, rental properties or investments and are required to make provisional tax payments during the year. Key focus Auto assessments remain a key focus of SARS’s strategy. Using information obtained from employers, banks, medical schemes, retirement funds and insurers, SARS automatically calculates tax returns for qualifying taxpayers. Those selected will receive an SMS or email indicating whether they are due a refund or owe money to SARS. Taxpayers are encouraged to review the assessment on SARS eFiling or the SARS MobiApp and only submit an updated Income Tax Return (ITR12) if information is missing or incorrect. SARS noted that taxpayers who agree with their auto assessment do not need to formally accept it. Any refund due will automatically be paid into their registered bank account. What’s changed? For the 2026 filing season, SARS has introduced several changes aimed at improving the taxpayer experience. These include additional prefilled information on returns, simplified questions, clearer wording on tax forms and improved guidance relating to tax residency declarations. Other enhancements include easier medical aid scheme selection through dropdown menus, expanded WhatsApp services, a redesigned eFiling platform with improved navigation and new declaration alerts intended to reduce errors and verification delays. SARS has also reminded taxpayers to verify that their banking and contact details are up to date before filing season begins. Remain alert to scams The revenue service further warned taxpayers to remain alert to scams and phishing attempts, which typically increase during filing season. Taxpayers are encouraged to use SARS’s digital platforms, including eFiling, the SARS MobiApp and the SARS Online Query System, to access services quickly and securely. According to SARS, the ongoing modernisation of its systems is intended to make tax compliance simpler, faster and more convenient for all taxpayers. Do you usually receive a refund or need to pay in each SARS tax season? Let us know by clicking on the comment banner below …
TechCentral
South Africa wants its minerals to power local EV factories
Government is reworking automotive policy as cheap Chinese imports and the electric shift threaten local plants.
TechCentral
R1.2-billion win for South African innovation agency
The Technology Innovation Agency sold its Kapa stake for $4.9-million months before Roche bought the biotech for $445-million.